Did Socialism Win After All?

January 12th, 2010 by The Parallax Brief

While Ms. Parallax Brief was watching Lost DVDs yesterday evening, the Parallax Brief settled down to catch up on some of the political writing he had missed, but archived, over his New Year vacation, and read two paradigm-shifting Peter Hitchens essays, linked at the bottom of this blog.

The Parallax Brief had always assumed, as he assumes most sensible observers assume, that a combination of the Thatcher and Reagan years, and the collapse of, and exposure as fraudulent, the communist regimes in Eastern Europe, had utterly destroyed socialism as a force (1) that had any traction in British politics and (2) to which anyone, from the general voting public through to public policy wonks, paid any heed.

Within this context, the Parallax Brief had always been puzzled, and, he is ashamed now to admit, slightly amused, by the sometimes hysterical assertions of the few hard, traditional conservatives at the Mail and the Telegraph, that Britain had become a socialist nation. But something Mr. Hitchens wrote in the first of his blog essays changed the Parallax Brief’s mind:

The goals which revolutionary Marxists of my generation sought — a radical reordering of the relations between the sexes, a weakening of the married family, a general moral, cultural and social revolution, the destruction of the taboos against abortion, illegitimacy and divorce, egalitarian education, the abolition of frontiers and of nation states, the end of restrictions on immigration and the withering away of national borders, the sociological approach to crime as opposed to the belief that wrongdoing was an act of free will that deserved punishment, the infiltration of the media, the schools and universities by radical and revolutionary ideas about history and society, the dismantling of the canon of literature and of conservative attitudes towards history, the general denigration of the British Empire, the demolition of the idea that education was a passing on of accepted knowledge, and so of the idea that teachers are figures of authority — are now the policies of the establishment and so the policies of the Modern Conservative party…

The penny finally drops. It is now perfectly clear what Mr. Hitchens and his Daily Telegraph counterpart, Simon Heffer, object to.

And Hitchens is right — to an extent.

Most people associate socialism most with its economic branch: controlling the the economy’s commanding (more…)

ConservativeHome: No HealthCare Provision, GBP18 per year Welfare is “Textbook Formula for Economic Success”

November 17th, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

ConservativeHome, the right of centre resource website and opinion blog owned by Conservative Party activist Tim Montgomerie, let slip the facade of “progressive conservatism” today, with a blog entry about how simply awesome it would be if we could only combine China’s welfare state with Britain’s lack of corruption. Here’s a choice cut from the story:

The welfare state is very limited: according to the state Xinhua News Agency China plans to spend £25 billion on its safety net in 2009, that is £18 per person. In comparison, the UK spends £164 billion, or £2,645 per person. Before privatisations, state owned companies and agricultural communes often provided cradle-to-grave healthcare, education, pensions, and healthcare. Now 300 million Chinese have no health plan whatsoever, with most others having to foot substantial percentages of every medical bill themselves… It is a textbook formula for economic success.

Astonishing.

But please, the Parallax Brief urges you to follow the link, because there’s more where that came from.

What Sarah Palin Can Teach Britain

November 17th, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

The Parallax Brief has a guilty secret: he is addicted to American politics. He finds its intoxicating mix of lofty ideals, snarling populism, Congressional dilatants, breakneck pacing, and great statesmen utterly irresistible.

In fact, he believes that a political wonk who tires of listening to great American rhetoric is a political wonk who has tired of politics.

One American politician who likely will not join Abe Lincoln, Jack Kennedy and Ron Reagan in the pantheon of great American speakers, however, is Sarah Palin. Yet she does encapsulate the return of slobbering, populist demagoguery to the American conservative mainstream.

The Palin phenomenon is something that we in Britain must guard against — and not just because it really wouldn’t do to have dim-witted, narcissistic, lying ignoramuses of quite Palin’s stature influencing British public policy from Westminster.

In his review for Newsweek of a Palin biography, Christopher Hitchens explains why.

The Palin problem, then, might be that she cynically incites a crowd that she has no real intention of pleasing. If she were ever to get herself to the nation’s capital, the teabaggers would be just as much on the outside as they are now, and would simply have been the instruments that helped get her elected. In my own not-all-that-humble opinion, duping the hicks is a degree or two worse than condescending to them. It’s also much more dangerous, because it meanwhile involves giving a sort of respectability to ideas that were discredited when William Jennings Bryan was last on the stump. The Weekly Standard (itself not exactly a prairie-based publication) might want to think twice before flirting with popular delusions and resentments that are as impossible to satisfy as the demand for a silver standard or a ban on the teaching of Darwin, and are for that very reason hard to tamp down. Many of Palin’s admirers seem to expect that, on receipt of the Republican Party nomination, she would immediately embark on a crusade against Wall Street and the banks. This notion is stupid to much the same degree that it is irresponsible.

[…]

Once again, one is compelled to ask which would be worse: a Sarah Palin who really meant what she merely seemed to say, or a Sarah Palin who would say anything at all for a cheap burst of applause. This is not a small matter for the Republican Party… The task and duty of a serious politician, as Edmund Burke emphasized so well, is to reason with such people and not to act as their megaphone or ventriloquist.

In pandering to the base, illogical intolerances and desires of relatively small groups of society, politicians and media groups give both credence to abhorrent resentments and build up hazardous popular expectation that these resentments will be satisfied should power be attained.

And, judging by recent American experience, where a whole political party and section of the media have decided to take this course, it has also muddied the waters of truth, triggered legislative constipation and debased politics and politicians.

Daily Mail be warned.

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Spectator Defends Government Spending, Says Civil Servants are Efficient and Necessary

November 16th, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

It’s amazing how much money that so-called fiscal conservatives are willing to lavish on the armed services. The Parallax Brief believes our armed forces are grossly underfunded and overstretched for Britain’s current foreign policy brief, but what always shocks him is the willingness of those who spend the vast majority of their time engaged in a monotonous, aggressive siege of what they see government largesse (that is, all government spending) to not only join him in being against military cutbacks, but to argue that any it’s wrong to even question MoD spending.

Here, for instance, is the Spectator’s Daniel Korski who — and perhaps sit down now, because you might faint when you read what follows — criticised on Sunday on the Spectator’s Coffee House blog Liam Fox for wanting to reduce the size of the MoD’s civilian (civil servant) contingent.

“Liam Fox has made clear that the Conservative Party is planning to slash the number of civilian posts at the Ministry of Defence as a way of balancing the military budget if they win the general election in 2010. “We have 99,000 people in the Army and 85,000 civilians in the MoD. Some things will have to change – and believe me, they will,” Fox has said.

[But]…MoD civilians include “doctors, dentists, nurses, teachers, lecturers, policemen, security guards, Royal Fleet auxiliary sailors, intelligence analysts”. Many of these people would be considered essential frontline servabts if they worked elsewhere in government. Seeing them as bonus-craving, army-destroying time-wasters is wrong.

In fact, if the MoD axed its entire civilian workforce it would save no more than 2.7 billion pounds in pay pensions and other costs. By comparison, armed forces’ costs amount to 8.9 billion pounds.

While the MoD is clearly in need of reform, and the public can be counted to react in a pavlovian way to the juxtaposition of the number of civilian employees and military personnel, this is hardly the zero-sum issue it is made out to be. Nor is it a major strategic concern for UK defence.

The Parallax Brief was still in the process of preparing a stiff brandy to soften the shock of reading a Spectator journalist defending slothful, incompetent civil servants who could never find work in the private sector, when he read Spectator deputy editor James Forsyth on Obama’s Afghanistan dilemma.

“A report in the New York Times today suggests that the administration is now worried about the cost of sending more troops. The paper says that Obama is insisting that every option contains a quick exit strategy as part of an effort to keep costs down. When you consider the likely cost of many of Obama’s domestic priorities, especially health-care, it seems remarkable that he is so concerned about the costs of the Afghan mission.”

Let’s get this straight, then: The Spectator is now for government spending, and civil servants, who are now underpaid and overstretched, and against government carefully analysing costs against benefits?

If the Spectator was genuinely fiscally conservative, then there would be blog entries on the Coffee House supporting the decision to cut back on the MoD’s civilian contingent and Obama’s concerns about the cost of war.

By the Spectator’s own numbers, cutting even 5% of the civil servants working at the MoD would save GBP135,000,000. Given that there are currently 23,000 civil servants working for the MoD’s procurement wing, a staggering three times more than were needed for the job during the second world war, are cutbacks really unwarranted?

Is there any other department of state which can count on the Spectator’s support in this way?

The Parallax Brief suggests that if, say, Andrew Lansley said GBP135 mn could be saved by trimming civil servants and managers working in the NHS, those defending NHS bureaucracy would be ridiculed by the Spectator.

And would Obama be criticised by the Spectator for considering the cost-benefit dynamic of a new extension of education policy?

A question, then: Are James Forsyth, Daniel Korski and the Spectator true fiscal conservatives who genuinely want government spending to be lowered and government to be more efficient, or do they just want spending on services that help poor people to be slashed so rich people can keep most of their money?

Tory EuroFissure: Lisbon Ruptures Party Discipline

November 4th, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

The Parallax Brief maintains that the only party that can stop the Conservative Party winning the next election is the Conservative Party. Labour has been in power too long, the economy is in too much of a mess, and its poll figures have stubbornly refused to budge for too long to imagine that Gordon Brown can work out a way to get himself back into 10 Downing Street next spring or summer.

But the Tories can defeat themselves.

Offering hope to Labour are the classic fissures within the broad church of the Conservative Party, and primary among those is Europe. David Cameron has hitherto kept the Eurosceptic monster placated by promising a referendum on the Lisbon treaty. It was his cast iron guarantee, but one — which most fail to realise — that was more for his own party than for voters. And the ratification of Lisbon makes that cast iron guarantee meaningless unless Dave has the stomach for all out diplomatic war with Brussels. Which he doesn’t.

Already the Europhobes are up in arms. David Davis is openly challenging Dave’s authority by demanding a referendum on Britain’s future relationship with the EU. Dan Hannan is using Orwellian language (”the boot continues to stamp on the human face”) while arguing that “referendum shouldn’t be dependent on what happens in other countries.” Meantime, Barry Legg, co-founder of the cross party ultra-sceptic Bruges Group, and former Tory chief exec tells David Cameron that he “needs to come clean with the British people: why is he breaking his pledge to hold a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty? What is the point in David Cameron upending one pledge on Europe, but promising he’ll offer us yet more European promises in his general election manifesto? Why will they be any more credible than the ‘cast-iron guarantee’ he has just broken?”

Worse, Dave has a second front to fight on, as the UKIP use his referendum climbdown to make hay, branding David Cameron as “gutless and dishonest.” If the Tories aren’t careful, they cold perhaps see the traditional conservative vote split by the UKIP in certain seats.

Make no mistake, Lisbon ratification is a gift for Labour. Can it capitalize?

Probably the answer to that question lies in whether David Cameron can maintain public unity within his party. But, certainly, the abandonment of the referendum guarantee has awoken powerful forces within the Conservative Party that will not be easily silenced without enraging the pro-Europe wing of the party.

Can Cameron shut his Pandora’s Box?

Tory EuroFissure: Was Heseltine a Stalking Horse?

November 3rd, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

As mentioned in the previous post, on TrussGate, the Parallax Brief thinks it’s pretty obvious that from here on in the election is there for the Conservative Party to win. From this position, only they can lose it. Labour has been in power too long and the economy and public finances are in too much of a mess for Brown and Mandelson to hope to win by communicating a positive narrative about their vision for the future of the country. What they can (and likely will) do, however, is take the Karl Rove route and hammer away at Tory stereotypes (which is why Cameron must deal adroitly with TrussGate), and traditional fissures, the primary of which is Europe.

The Parallax Brief actually believes that so bad are the divisions on Europe that the Conservative Party has an (albeit incredibly small) chance of splitting on the matter.

Make no mistake, Mandelson will be leveraging at those cracks with everything he can muster every single day.

Cameron will have to, like Blair with the left wing of his party, keep iron discipline between now and summer 2010.

Which is why it was a great surprise for the Parallax Brief to see Michael Heseltine out of his iron lung and in front of a microphone complaining about David Cameron’s Eurosceptic decision to move the European Parliamentary Conservative Party away from the mainstream centre.

The only explanation the Parallax Brief can think of is that the more Europhile of the Conservative Party have tired of the Eurosceptics of the Telegraph and ConservativeHome dominating the intra-Tory debate from an anti-Europe platform, but are mindful of the wrath they would incur for opening up the party’s vulnerable European underbelly to the media. In such a scenario, Heseltine, with weight of reputation behind him but not beholden to the CCHQ mafia, would make the ideal stalking horse.

And perhaps he has. Certainly, it seems unlikely that this was a lone gunman case, something like the Last Temptation of Tarzan. Clearly, now that Lisbon looks as if it will be ratified by the Czech Republic, Mr Cameron and William Hague, the Shadow Foreign Secretary, will have some tough choices to make, and it seems that the lobbyists on both sides of the argument are gearing up for the fight.

TrussGate Gets Nasty

November 3rd, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

The ongoing debacle over Lynn Truss’s prospective deselection by the Conservative Party South West Norfolk constituency association has descended into an unseemly, spiteful proxy for long held resentments between the traditionalists of what in America would be called the Conservative Party “base”, and the socially liberal modernisers at Tory HQ.

Yesterday, writing for the Guardian’s Comment is Free forum, Dorothy Lockhurst, another of Mr. Cameron’s A-Listers, fired off a withering broadside against the Norfolk faithful:

The local activists who have asserted their power to humiliate Truss are not acting in the name of localism, or any other principle worth defending. Their case consists of misogyny and jealousy in roughly equal parts. As a former member of the Scottish Conservative Candidates Board, responsible for the selection and vetting of dozens of Conservative candidates, and as an experienced parliamentary candidate myself, I have witnessed similar behaviour often.

Early in my career a constituency association deselected me because I had the effrontery to become pregnant, within marriage, but without consulting them first. It gave me enormous satisfaction when other, more enlightened Conservatives responded by inviting me to fight the Glasgow Anniesland byelection while I was four months pregnant.

The South West Norfolk 19 represent the type of Conservatism that risks placing our party beyond the frontiers of tolerance. Their conduct makes our cause unappealing to ambitious women. It weakens our potential to appeal beyond our traditional electoral base and diminishes our capacity to govern in the national interest.

Iain Dale, an influential media figure with forward thinking Conservatives, who had earlier been reported by the Guardian as having called the Norfolk faithful “Neanderthals”, joined the fray:

Because they are often people whose own private lives don’t quite stand up to scrutiny. I wonder how many of the nineteen members of the South West Norfolk Conservatives Executive Committee who voted to put into doubt her candidacy could look themselves in the mirror and honestly say they were entitled to sit in judgment of Ms Truss. The only person entitled to judge her is her husband. And he stuck by her. Isn’t that what should matter?

Ah, some say, but if she betrayed her husband, how can we trust her? How can we be sure she won’t betray her constituents? Utter poppycock. It’s a lazy argument perpetrated by the small minded.

[...]

Can we also put to rest another myth, the one which says that David Cameron is trying to parachute in candidates against the will of local parties. It’s rubbish. The six strong shortlist was drawn up by the local party with very little direction from the centre. The local party included one local candidate. James Tumbridge, who fought Norwich North at the last election, but ignored the merits of any other local candidates among the 150 or so who put their names forward. Presumably they did that because they felt that Liz Truss and the four other candidates were of better quality. What other reason can there have been?

Meantime, on the other side of no-man’s land, the South West Norfolk constituency association have stayed silent on the matter, but their neighbours have not. According to the Guardian,

“Cliff Jordan, the chairman of neighbouring Mid Norfolk Conservative association, is supporting his defiant neighbours. “The bully boys at Tory HQ are coming out. It’s appalling. They are trying to twist it to look as though the association is in the wrong. But she didn’t tell them. And what Cameron doesn’t seem to understand is that in Norfolk truthfulness, honesty and integrity mean something,” said the Norfolk county councillor. “As for the A-list, it’s about as much good as a chocolate fireguard. We’re given assurances they’d be vetted properly, we’d get really good quality candidates. And it’s proven to be false,” he added.”

It seems that on both sides, Ms. Truss has become a catalyst for long held resentments: the hard core Tory supporters who believe that in moving the party to the centre, David Cameron has disconnected from traditional conservatism and is simultaneously trying to impose centralised decisions, and especially candidates, on local constituency committees; and from HQ that they’re having their best efforts to make the party electable foiled by puritanical prigs who still live in an alternate reality where the Queen Victoria never died and the sixties never happened.

The Conservative Party can only lose the election from here; Labour cannot win through communicating a positive narrative about their vision for the future of the country. They have been in power too long and the economy and public finances are in too much of a mess for that. But Brown and Mandelson can (and will) hammer away at negative Tory stereotypes. With the Guardian gleefully lapping up TrussGate, it is exactly this type of own-goal that Cameron must minimize if he’s to appear electable. He must handle the South West Conservatives adroitly, easing Truss into a safe seat without using the strong arm tactics that will likely make the priggish codgers even more intransigent.

The Importance of Being Priggish

October 30th, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

News that the board of the Conservative Party South West Norfolk constituency association ruled that Liz Truss must face a de-selection vote due to concerns over a past affair with married Tory front bench MP Mark Field will have shocked some, but not the Parallax Brief.

Of course, it’s preposterous to disqualify an eminently able prospective MP who would likely be an enormous asset to the Parliamentary Conservative Party — Ms. Truss is Deputy Director of the centre-right think tank Reform — just because she had an affair in the past, but never underestimate than sanctimony of a party which has for many years set itself as the guardian of high morality.

David Cameron may be modern enough to understand that Truss’s story is a very human one — and further, one that’s well in the past — but at a grass routes level, having the Jezebel Truss on board simply won’t do. And with the Iain Duncan Smith efforts to mend “Broken Britain” set to focus on promoting traditional family values through tax and benefits changes, will Truss’s dalliances affect the party’s credibility?

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Dale In Twitter Row With Tory Candidate

October 21st, 2009 by The Parallax Brief

Iain Dale, arguably the UK’s most influential Conservative blogger and recent losing candidate for the Bracknell Conservative selection, crossed swords with Joanne Cash, a candidate for the Conservative selection for Westminster North, in a tetchy Twitter exchange yesterday.

Iain Dale Twitter Rant

As the Parallax Brief reported yesterday, Dale was one of the most outspoken critics of Tory leader David Cameron’s decision to impose all women short-lists for constituency seats which become open from January. Dale’s stance on the matter drew Cash’s ire, however, leading to an unseemly but entertainingly catty altercation between the two Conservative would-be MPs.

The exchange in full:

Joanne_Cash @iaindale & @timmontgomerie on DC’s shortlists SO depressing. Politics not representative Needs more women Urgent No other way Get over it

IainDale @Joanne_Cash I agree. But this is not the way to do it. And less of the ‘get over it’ if you please.

Joanne_Cash @iaindale U cd have made huge diff to Party today and raised ur own standing by supporting selection of women over equal men to avoid need

Joanne_Cash @iaindale contd Instead you missed chance to advocate change at grassroots and fuelled all the old cliched prej. I thought you had more guts

IainDale @joanne_cash who do you think u r to accuse me of lacking guts? Perhaps if u knew more about me u wouldn’t utter such inanities.

Cash did strike a more conciliatory tone at the end, but as of the time of writing it had gone unheeded, and the Parallax Brief rather hopes this simmers on. First, it’s hilarious to see two supposed allies going at it, and second, it’s further proof of the unvarnished joy of Twitter. You can tell it’s not some sappy PR lackey posting these for Dale and Case — those are genuine people genuinely losing it with eachother. The Parallax Brief supposes it just goes to show what an emotive subject positive discrimination is. Either that, or Dale is still smarting from the Bracknell loss and was in no mood to be told he lacked guts.

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