The Jamie Janes letter saga rumbles on and on. At first, the Parallax Brief assumed that it was simply another blunder by an error-prone Prime Minister supported by a spin team unique in its ability to turn a minor hiccup into a PR catastrophe. But the the 24 hour news cycle has turned again, and if anything, the furore has amplified. Today, Gordon Brown was even forced to hold a press conference to explain himself and his actions. Andrew Sparrow, over at the Guardian’s political blog, has some interesting analysis of what the press conference, and JanesGate as a whole, has to say about the Prime Minister.
2. Brown can’t admit it when he makes a mistake.
This is something people have been saying about the prime minister for some time, but the Janes conversation provides a particularly good example. Janes accuses Brown of making 25 spelling mistakes in his letter. Brown (correctly) says that his handwriting is bad and he apologises for that. He says that he spelt the name of Janes’s son, Jamie, correctly, which, if you’ve seen the letter, I think you can accept. But she also criticises him for addressing the letter to “Mrs James”. The letter clearly does start “Dear Mrs James”. But Brown won’t admit that he got it wrong. “I think I was trying to say Janes, as your right name,” he says.
3. Brown is not particularly good at empathy.
Any politician confronted with an angry widow would find it hard to emerge with much credit. Brown clearly feels sorry for Janes and his sympathy appears to be utterly genuine. But he does not convey this particularly well. Listening to the conversation, I found myself wondering how Tony Blair would have dealt with the call. (Bill Clinton, of course, would have handled it brilliantly.) Brown might have emerged better if he had asked Janes to tell him more about her son, instead of just defending government policy.
4. Brown won’t appeal for sympathy himself.
As Sue Arnold wrote in today’s Guardian, Brown’s handwriting is poor because he’s partially disabled. Brown could have mentioned this to Janes, but he doesn’t. And he knows from his own experience what it is like to suffer the loss of a child. But he doesn’t mention this either. Many people will find such reticence admirable, although it probably makes it harder for him to defend himself.
This all seems like common sense to the Parallax Brief, not least because these are exactly the same personality traits that we’ve all been long aware of for a long time as being detrimental to his premiership. In fact, wasn’t it the case that for many years, Gordon Brown was seen as the Labour Party’s Dauphin, but that Tony Blair gained the leadership, despite being intellectually outgunned by Brown, because of his better presentation — especially for the middle classes?
Over at the brilliant Political Betting blog, however, Mike Smithson takes that one stage further, linking Mr. Brown’s problems with David Miliband’s decision to refuse the opportunity to become the first EU High Commissioner.
The big question now is why Miliband has thrown away this chance and what it says about his Labour leadership aspirations. Surely there can be no doubt that this is what he’s going for – the only issue is whether it’ll be before the election or after.
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It’s that characteristic, the refusal to accept what’s blindingly obvious, that more than anything else is [the Prime Minister's] greatest political weakness.
We’ve speculated for so long on the Brown departure but there will come a time, surely, when he or those close to him realise that the best option is retirement? Maybe it’s this prospect that’s caused Miliband (D) to stay in the UK?
There’s no doubt that EU High Commissioner a mega job, and one which would remove Mr. Miliband from the daily gutter brawling of Westminster. Surely he must believe he has a shot at a lofty role to refuse such an opportunity?
The Parallax Brief wonders, though, whether if choosing Mr. Miliband wouldn’t be making the same mistake the party made with Mr. Brown; that is, selecting a man with intellectual gravitas and an influential and large party power base, but with serious presentation problems and an inability to look up from the minutiae of the trees to see the big picture of the woods?
Whatever the merits of David Miliband as a potential leader of the party, it now seems clear that he is positioning himself for a run. The only question that remains is whether that run will be before of after the election.
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